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	<title>Comments on: National Index Offers Mixed Results</title>
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	<description>Portland Oregon Real Estate Search</description>
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		<title>By: Ron Ares</title>
		<link>http://repdx.com/2008/08/26/national-index-offers-mixed-results/comment-page-1/#comment-612</link>
		<dc:creator>Ron Ares</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2008 13:38:02 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Uncle Git</title>
		<link>http://repdx.com/2008/08/26/national-index-offers-mixed-results/comment-page-1/#comment-611</link>
		<dc:creator>Uncle Git</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Aug 2008 18:57:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Hey Ron - hope you are well.

I think it&#039;s worth remembering that Case/Schiller isn&#039;t seasonally adjusted - and it&#039;s numbers represent the state of play 2 months ago - with a sliding 3 month window.  So these numbers really represent transactions that occurred April/May.

Right in the middle of peak selling season - when the market should be strongest.

I suspect going forward we&#039;ll see an increase in the pace of price declines as we roll over towards winter - in addition with seller paid downpayments going away it&#039;ll bring further pressure to the market.

Heading into spring next year I&#039;d be very surprised if we didn&#039;t show 10%-15% down from peak.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hey Ron &#8211; hope you are well.</p>
<p>I think it&#8217;s worth remembering that Case/Schiller isn&#8217;t seasonally adjusted &#8211; and it&#8217;s numbers represent the state of play 2 months ago &#8211; with a sliding 3 month window.  So these numbers really represent transactions that occurred April/May.</p>
<p>Right in the middle of peak selling season &#8211; when the market should be strongest.</p>
<p>I suspect going forward we&#8217;ll see an increase in the pace of price declines as we roll over towards winter &#8211; in addition with seller paid downpayments going away it&#8217;ll bring further pressure to the market.</p>
<p>Heading into spring next year I&#8217;d be very surprised if we didn&#8217;t show 10%-15% down from peak.</p>
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