Portland Real Estate Results – November 2008

RMLS released the November 2008 report and it corroborates what I had reported last week — weak unit sales and falling sale prices.

Year-over-year average sale prices are down 10.5% from 1 year ago, and the median value is off by 7%. As a percentage of 2007’s rate, the total number of sales is down 32% (consistently all year). Fortunately, new listings are down 8.3%, but that doesn’t help the absorption rate much. At this pace of sales, the market has 15 months of active listings–easily the highest that I could find in RMLS records going back to 2000.

Closed sales in November were the lowest since February 1993 and pending sales for the month were the lowest since 1997.

From the peak market of July / August 2007, median and average sale prices are off 12-13%. Values are roughly equivalent to March 2006.

November 2008 Market Activity, vs. October 2008 and November 2007

November 2008 October 2008 November 2007
Median Sale Price $265,000 $275,000 $285,000
Average Sale Price $308,300 $324,300 $344,500
Closed Sales 1,041 1,465 1,733
Pending Sales 1,108 1,268 1,623
New Listings 2,687 3,605 3,369
Active Listings 15,611 16,257 14,435
Total Market Time * 135 days 127 days
Inventory (in months) 15.0 11.1 8.3

Here’s how Portland’s various market areas break down, year-to-date:

Area YTD Avg. Sale Price YTD Median Sale Price 12-Mo. Appreciation Total Mkt Time*
Lake Oswego / West Linn $543,300 $450,000 0.4% 182
West Portland $480,700 $395,000 4.2% 145
NW Washington County $404,900 $376,000 -1.7% 152
Tigard / Tualatin / Sherwood / Wilsonville $354,200 $324,900 -4.8% 144
Milwaukie / Clackamas $322,200 $287,900 -4.6% 155
Northeast Portland $322,000 $282,000 0.5% 98
Oregon City / Canby $316,300 $282,300 -5.6% 172
Hillsboro / Forest Grove $280,300 $257,800 -5.9% 124
Southeast Portland $276,800 $245,000 -3.1% 109
Beaverton / Aloha $274,900 $250,000 -4.8% 155
Yamhill County $268,600 $225,000 -4.6% 134
North Portland $266,100 $250,000 0.1% 120
Gresham / Troutdale $260,700 $245,000 -6.4% 128
Columbia County $229,400 $214,000 -9.9% 126

Source: RMLS, December 2008.

* Total Market Time – the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time it was off the market. The old Average Market Time measured the days a listing number was active–not taking into account re-listings.

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Comments

One Response to “Portland Real Estate Results – November 2008”

  1. Portland Oregon Real Estate Agent Blog » News To End The Year On on December 30th, 2008 9:22 am

    [...] at data compiled from 2 months back) shouldn’t be a shock to regular readers. Similar results have been reported here using the multiple listing data. I would expect November and December reports to show similar [...]

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