Portland Real Estate Market Activity – November 2009

Home buyer tax credits and low interest rates continued to fuel home purchases in November 2009 throughout the Portland metro area.

Total home sales for the month were 72% higher than a year ago. However, average and median prices took a hit, declining 11% and 10% respectively from their levels a year ago.

The leading indicator for December performance, pending sales, is down 36% from the prior month — signaling a cooling off over the holiday month. The drop in activity may be due to buyers retreating because of the originally planned expiration of the $8,000 tax credit on November 30.

The average home sale price is down 23% and the median is off 21% from peak values set in the summer of 2007. The median sale price in the Portland metro area for November was $239,000 — the lowest level going back to June 2005.

Homes that do sell are taking a little over 4 months to close, on average. Low numbers of new listings are keeping inventories at 7 months’ available supply (12,697 homes).

Here are the numbers:

Market Summary

November
2009
October
2009
Last Year
November 2008
Median Sale Price $239,000 $245,000 $265,000
Average Sale Price $273,300 $283,500 $308,300
Closed Sales 1,795 2,009 1,041
Pending Sales 1,328 2,079 1,108
New Listings 2,449 3,443 2,687
Active Listings 12,697 13,101 15,611
Total Market Time * 131 days 135 days 135 days
Inventory (in months) 7.1 6.5 15.0

Below is activity by market area. Please note that the median and average sale prices are year-to-date, and the appreciation numbers are a 12-month average compared to the previous 12-month average. Total market time is the number of days between the date it went on the market and when it received an acceptable offer.

Market Report by Area

Area YTD Avg.
Sale Price
YTD Median
Sale Price
12-Mo.
Appreciation
Total Mkt
Time*
Lake Oswego / West Linn $481,700 $391,500 -12.9% 168
West Portland & Downtown $422,700 $347,100 -12.6% 167
NW Washington County $370,800 $350,000 -8.2% 126
Tigard / Tualatin / Sherwood / Wilsonville $316,300 $285,000 -10.8% 156
Northeast Portland $286,600 $253,000 -10.6% 102
Milwaukie / Clackamas $286,000 $260,000 -11.0% 157
Oregon City / Canby $281,900 $248,900 -10.9% 153
Hillsboro / Forest Grove $244,200 $225,000 -13.4% 143
Southeast Portland $241,500 $215,000 -12.2% 106
Beaverton / Aloha $241,200 $224,000 -11.2% 103
North Portland $235,600 $230,000 -10.8% 80
Yamhill County $228,400 $207,700 -15.1% 138
Gresham / Troutdale $221,700 $210,000 -15.9% 140
Columbia County $196,000 $187,000 -12.7% 180
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