Portland Real Estate Activity & Statistics – October 2011

The Portland real estate market begins its annual hibernation, with activity subsiding and prices taking a nap as well.

Compared to September, closed sales dropped 7%, the median price dipped 6.7% and the average slumped by 6.5%. The average sale price in October was $258,700 and the midpoint weighed in at $217,800 — the lowest levels since the market thawed in early 2011.

Nearly a third of closed sales were short sales or bank-owned foreclosures. November closings should be on par with October, however, with a slight rise in pending sales over October’s totals. The average time on market is around 4.5 months.

On a year-to-date basis, closed sales are up 2.1% and pending sales up 4.5% over 2010. However, new listings are off 26.3% from last year. Active inventory is the lowest since February 2007, starving motivated buyers for choices. Starting November, less than seven months’ inventory exists, around 10,000 homes.

Market Summary

October 2011 Prev. Month -
September 2011
Last Year -
October 2010
Median Sale Price $217,800 $230,800 $233,500
Average Sale Price $258,700 $268,200 $276,800
Closed Sales 1,474 1,586 1,292
Pending Sales 1,878 1,861 1,632
New Listings 2,433 2,501 3,119
Active Listings 10,012 10,666 13,805
Distress Sales 30% 26% 33%
Total Market Time * 136 131 131 days
Inventory (in months) 6.8 6.7 10.7

Below is activity by market area on year-to-date basis.

Market Report by Area

Area YTD Avg.
Sale Price
YTD Median
Sale Price
12-Mo. Change Total Mkt
Time*
Lake Oswego / West Linn $429,100 $370,000 -3.4% 135
West Portland & Downtown $388,700 $328,400 -3.4% 149
NW Washington County $357,300 $321,000 -3.0% 86
Tigard / Tualatin / Sherwood / Wilsonville $279,400 $258,500 -6.9% 138
Northeast Portland $267,300 $229,000 -5.4% 111
Milwaukie / Clackamas $239,500 $219,100 -10.5% 118
Oregon City / Canby $232,400 $210,000 -11.4% 214
North Portland $219,900 $209,500 -6.0% 122
Southeast Portland $214,000 $180,600 -8.5% 135
Beaverton / Aloha $212,800 $194,900 -12.1% 119
Hillsboro / Forest Grove $207,600 $190,000 -8.8% 135
Yamhill County $199,600 $174,800 -6.4% 184
Gresham / Troutdale $195,800 $178,000 -8.2% 122
Columbia County $161,100 $150,000 -12.4% 174

Please note that median and average sale prices are year-to-date. The appreciation numbers are a 12-month average compared to the previous 12-month average. Total market time is the number of days between the date it went on the market and when it received an acceptable offer.

Friday Fun – Portland At Night, Time-Lapse Video

I’m a sucker for time-lapse video, especially if Portland scenes are involved. Here’s a beaut:

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Photography by Lance Page. Music soundtrack provided by Andrew Parish.

NPR Interview: Credit is Cheap But Extremely Tight

I caught a succinct, very clear explanation on NPR radio tonight about why credit is so cheap, but so difficult to qualify for when purchasing a home. Give it a listen:

In a related story, the national government is looking at changes to the loan modification process. Story here.